Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.000177 0.000196 0.000216 0.000240 0.000267 0.000296 0.000330
2025-05-25 0.000141 0.000168 0.000200 0.000240 0.000289 0.000348 0.000425
2025-06-01 0.000118 0.000148 0.000186 0.000237 0.000304 0.000390 0.000511
2025-06-08 0.000100 0.000131 0.000171 0.000229 0.000308 0.000417 0.000578
2025-06-15 0.000090 0.000123 0.000167 0.000231 0.000326 0.000462 0.000676
2025-06-22 0.000083 0.000117 0.000164 0.000236 0.000346 0.000512 0.000788
2025-06-29 0.000075 0.000108 0.000155 0.000231 0.000351 0.000539 0.000866
2025-07-06 0.000066 0.000098 0.000144 0.000221 0.000346 0.000549 0.000917
2025-07-13 0.000062 0.000093 0.000141 0.000222 0.000358 0.000588 0.001023
2025-07-20 0.000058 0.000090 0.000139 0.000225 0.000375 0.000636 0.001151
2025-07-27 0.000054 0.000085 0.000135 0.000223 0.000382 0.000668 0.001255
2025-08-03 0.000052 0.000083 0.000134 0.000227 0.000399 0.000720 0.001404
2025-08-10 0.000048 0.000079 0.000130 0.000226 0.000408 0.000761 0.001544
2025-08-17 0.000045 0.000075 0.000126 0.000224 0.000417 0.000802 0.001693
2025-08-24 0.000042 0.000071 0.000122 0.000221 0.000422 0.000838 0.001836
2025-08-31 0.000038 0.000066 0.000115 0.000213 0.000418 0.000851 0.001931
2025-09-07 0.000037 0.000064 0.000114 0.000216 0.000434 0.000913 0.002155
2025-09-14 0.000035 0.000063 0.000113 0.000220 0.000455 0.000987 0.002427
2025-09-21 0.000033 0.000059 0.000109 0.000216 0.000455 0.001014 0.002579
2025-09-28 0.000030 0.000055 0.000103 0.000206 0.000444 0.001011 0.002647
2025-10-05 0.000029 0.000053 0.000101 0.000207 0.000456 0.001067 0.002899
2025-10-12 0.000028 0.000052 0.000101 0.000210 0.000474 0.001141 0.003220
2025-10-19 0.000026 0.000050 0.000098 0.000208 0.000480 0.001186 0.003462